Thursday, April 11, 2013

"Year of the Small Deal"

 






Here's an article of interest from April/May Realtor magazine.

The article acclaims the already known fact that 2012, especially the last quarter, brought a bumper crop of CRE deals. It doesn't mention that much of that was due to political fear and a desire to avoid 2013 taxes. It reports that capital markets surged, CMBS lending increased and that cash flow remains king.

2013 hasn't slowed down either, which is fantastic. It shows the motivation to invest is economic more than political. And best of all, Savannah made the cut!


 
This little infographic shows the top 10 U.S. cities with greatest YOY CRE volume. But don't equate the prosaic interview that jobs = growth = CRE deals, with the cities' numbers.

I can't imagine that Lexington, where I used to live, added so many jobs in 2010-2011 that the newly generated wealth prompted a buying CRE buying spree in 2012. And the Savannah MSA unemployment rate was around 9% in 2011 and decreased only .9% in 2012.

So yes, jobs keep a city alive, but don't equate to dramatic CRE sales volume. Remember that multi-family topped $75 billion in sales last year. I think the numbers reflect pent up demand, sales of REOs, and local and foreign investment.

A. Joseph Marshall
Coldwell Banker Commercial
Commercial Real Estate Advisor
Savannah, Ga

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