Showing posts with label housing market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label housing market. Show all posts

Friday, June 1, 2012

Mortgage do-over time

May 31, 2012 9:55 AM By NICOLE GELINAS Los Angeles Times

Here's a great opinion piece!

Key Quotes:

After the bubble burst, Americans couldn’t keep paying all of that debt and support the economy with retail spending and investments in businesses. They still can’t.

Yet no mainstream politician, Democrat or Republican, embraced the idea of forcing banks and investors to admit reality on their bad loans.

Why? Public opinion was rabidly against it. A commenter to a January 2009 New York Times blog summed up the zeitgeist in asserting that “people who (bought) more house than they can afford … ARE idiots.”
 
The moral-hazard argument against principal write-downs was always faulty. During the housing boom, the financial and real estate industries and popular culture — TV programs such as “Flip This House” — encouraged Americans to buy a home as a speculative investment.

But when you lose money on an investment, it’s perfectly rational -- and not immoral -- to cut your losses.

Lenders don’t reduce the amount of money they’re owed because they’re nice. They do it because it’s economical. They don’t want to be stuck managing an asset that’s lost value.

Moreover, the more pressing problem is not that mortgage interest rates may be too high someday but that they are too low right now. The government has intervened massively, reducing rates to below 4%. President Obama and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke encourage low rates because they want people to flock back to the housing market -- creating artificial demand and keeping house prices from falling further.
That would create a new generation of borrowers who will find themselves underwater in coming years when the government stops propping up prices. That’s moral hazard -- using unwitting new people to bail out the old.

The best way to avoid that risk would be to allow housing prices to find their bottom now. Such an effort is helped by mortgage-principal reductions, as they reduce uncertainty over future foreclosures.

Read the full article at Mortgage do-over time.

A. Joseph Marshall
Coldwell Banker Commercial
Commercial Real Estate Advisor
Savannah, Ga

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

More doctors smoke Camels than any other cigarette, and one should always buy real estate.

This will not help me sell homes, despite the fact that the Savannah market is quite active, presently. Just as long as my home buyers are aware that the FHA is planning on a 1-4% decrease in home values this year, I feel guilt free when the deal closes. The "good news" is that home values are expected to increase 3.5% in 2014! Whew!

Never-the-less, I enjoy doom and gloom articles. They're cool refreshing reminders of the long road to recovery that is before us after getting excited from reading articles that proclaim "Housing Is Back!" in the head-line, and conclude with a sentence like "Real estate analysts expect more apathy and ambivalence for 2012 and 2013."

Anyway, the article...

Summary: Single family home sales are up! But they're being turned into rentals. Home prices will rise next year! And recover a tenth of what we've lost. Foreclosures are slowing! But home values are still falling.

My summary essentially captures the key quotes. Read the full article at The Greater Fool.

A. Joseph Marshall
Coldwell Banker Commercial
Commercial Real Estate Advisor
Savannah, Ga